One of the propositions we get asked the most about, is Proposition 64, aka “Legalizing marijuana use, possession, & regulated cultivation under state law.”
The latest Field Poll/Institute of Governmental Studies at UC Berkeley found that 60% of likely voters support the measure, with just 31% opposed and 9% undecided. Findings of the poll are in line with other recent polling, suggesting Prop 64 is likely to pass in November.
PolitoMuse readers will want to read our extensive Prop 64 analysis where we consider the pros and cons of legalization.
And be sure to checkout other updates to here
With the 200+ page voter guides hitting mailboxes this week, our phones and email in-boxes have been filled with PolitoMuse followers requests for voter analysis. Yes we’re working on it but this is a big election cycle and lots of complexity. We’ve posted some prop analysis and are diligently working on more and will post as it becomes available.
Here is the link to proposition analysis
Thanks for your patience and for following PolitoMuse.
At the outset a quick note on “primary” elections. These elections are intended to be interim elections where the larger parties select their candidates for the general elections. However, the proposition system we have in California requires qualifying propositions to be listed on the next available election – even if it is a primary. So, while many voters “skip” primary elections thinking they are unimportant, keep in mind that there is nothing “preliminary” about propositions on this ballot – if passed, they become law (often in the form of constitutional amendments that are very difficult to change). This year, there is just one proposition (whew) but be sure to check your local election pamphlet for city and county measures. Also, currently both large parties allow “undeclared” voters to participate in their primary elections for the Presidency– you need only request a particular party’s ballot and other state-wide offices (Senate, Congress etc.) are “open” so you may vote for any candidate irrespective of parties — Our concerns about that system notwithstanding. If you are “undeclared” and do not wish to participate in party primary elections, you should receive a non-partisan general ballot containing the propositions that are on the ballot. If you do not have your ballot you can go to your polling place and demand one.
For long-time subscribers to this forum, you already know this disclaimer: Politomuse is exceedingly anti-“proposition” so we start most of our analysis from a default “no” position. We find propositions destructive because we think they are the ultimate special interest tool, amount to legislation by sound-bite (call us crazy, but we suspect most folks don’t spend the time to analyze these propositions), and they remove discretion from the hands of those we elect as our representatives to investigate and decide these issues. Happily (since citizen referenda are now limited to the general election – thank you SB202) we have only one proposition for this election and it is the unusual one that is presented directly to voters for a good reason.
Check out PolitoMuse’s analyses of all California Propositions and Selected Candidate Analyses, then make up your own mind and vote!
Voter turn out is traditionally very low in non-presidential Elections like this one. That’s a good news/bad news proposition. The bad news is that a small number of voters will make decisions that bind all Californians. The good news: If you decide to be one of those responsible citizens, your vote will be that much more powerful because of that low turn-out.
For everything you wanted to know about voting in California checkout the Secretary of State’s Voter info website
For our local readers, checkout the Santa Clara County Registrar of Voters website for other election questions checkout our Useful Resources section on this page. If you are not already a registered user sign-up to receive updates in your inbox. We only post around election time and we never send out spam.
Make Sure You Vote — This Tuesday June 3!
Check out PolitoMuse’s analyses of Propositions 41 and 42 and Selected Candidates, then make up your mind and vote!
Voter turn out is traditionally very low in California’s Primary Elections. That’s a good news/bad news proposition. The bad news is that a small number of voters will make decisions that bind all Californians. The good news: If you decide to be one of those responsible citizens, your vote will be that much more powerful because of that low turn-out.
For everything you wanted to know about voting in California checkout the Secretary of State’s Voter info website
For our local readers, checkout the Santa Clara County Registrar of Voters website
PROP – 42 – Legislative Constitutional Amendment Transferring Obligation To Pay Local Costs of “Open Meeting Laws” From State To Local Governments
Recommendation: Weak Yes
Although it is difficult to locate, the impetus for this Proposition appears to stem from the fiscal cut-backs that occurred in 2013. During the initial State Budget, the Governor and legislature cut the payments made to local governments to cover expenses associated with Open Meeting laws by suspending the requirements that local governments comply, or at a minimum, local governments took that position. (see http://www.mercurynews.com/opinion/ci_25367980/mercury-news-editorial-proposition-42-improves-access-public). What is even more deeply buried is the reason that suspending the payments could mean that the local governments would not need to comply with the open meeting laws – after all, the state has a long history of “unfunded mandates”; laws that obligate local governments to do or refrain from doing acts that require expenditure of resources without providing those local governments any payment. (For an analysis of California’s unfunded mandates see http://wpsa.research.pdx.edu/meet/2012/settle.pdf).
Undaunted, we set our Polito-researchers to the task. It turns out that California is a strange state (we know, tell you something you don’t know). California’s voluminous and oft-modified (thank you propositions) Constitution actually has a provision that prohibits unfunded mandates. It is found in the California Constitution, article XIII B, section 6, subdivision (a) (see – http://www.boe.ca.gov/lawguides/property/current/ptlg/ccp/art-XIII-B-all.html#6). Of course, over the years, the legislature has still found ways to avoid payments. In particular, one Polito-friendly contact we spoke with who deals with information requests on behalf of local schools told us that while expenses for such requests are carefully tracked (to enable reimbursement by the state), they haven’t actually seen a reimbursement from the state in years. For a discussion of the history and treatment of unfunded mandates in light of Article 13b of the state constitution see the 2011 case of California School Boards Assoc. v. Brown. (http://caselaw.findlaw.com/ca-court-of-appeal/1557120.html).
So, while we were unable to find authority for the proposition that the State’s failure to fund reimbursements for “open meeting” laws would necessarily relieve local governments from the obligation to comply (assuming the State used some of the clever tactics employed in the past), there is a realistic fear that such an argument could succeed.
Separately from the fear that “Open Meeting” laws could be undermined in this way we also agree with the proponents’ underlying premise: That “Open Meeting” laws should be considered core principles of good government and therefore part of a local government’s obligations to fund its own functions.
Moreover, responsibility for paying half of the “Open Meeting” laws – those incurred under the Brown Act” was already transferred to local governments by initiative in 2012. So, it seems sensible to give the same treatment to the other half of these important laws.
Finally, we are also mindful of the unproven “whispers” that local governments routinely “pad” their reimbursement requests and that transferring the cost obligations to those local governments will create an incentive for efficiency.
In short, while it is hard for us to get excited about foisting more expenses onto local governments, at the end of the day this expense seem properly placed at the local level. Interestingly, even local governments are not really opposing this measure. We found only one reference to an opponent (which we could not independently verify) to Prop 42, no editorial boards opposing the Proposition, and no funds expended against the Proposition.
Recommendation: Strong Yes.
Long-time readers of this blog (or its predecessors) are aghast: Is that really a “strong yes” on a bond measure? Collect yourselves; it is. The reason is that this is an unusually smart bond measure. Also, as our title suggests, while this is correctly identified as a state bond measure, thanks to our surprisingly fiscally conservative state legislature, we view it as more of a re-allocation of already authorized bonds from one program to another.
First, unlike most initiative-created bond measures, this one is not created by an outside special interest group seeking to shift more money away from the ever-shrinking discretionary funds managed by the legislature. Rather, this initiative finds its roots in Assembly Bill 639, sponsored by State Assembly Majority Leader John Pérez and passed both the Assembly and the State Senate unanimously. So, this is bond measure that has been planned for and is supported by our legislature as opposed to one that is being foisted upon them (as is the case for most bond measures).
Second, the legislature actually did plan for this measure. They identified an underutilized Cal-Vets program Created in 1922 and most recently funded by initiative in 2008. That program has about $600 million in authorized but unused bonds intended to help vets. So, the legislature de-funded $600 million in that program and passed AB 639 creating Proposition 41 to authorize the same $600 million in bonds be used for a smarter program. We at PolitoMuse are not fans of micro-managing our legislatures, so we would argue that it should be sufficient that the legislature has unanimously found the new program to be superior for us to support it. Nevertheless, the information in the voter guide and on-line suggests that the new program is more specifically directed toward low and very low-income veterans, whereas the old one is not. We think that is sensible. It appears that the problem with the old program was essentially that the vets, who qualified for it, didn’t need it because they have sufficient resources to qualify for market loans. Those that needed it, because they lacked financial resources, couldn’t qualify (see e.g. http://www.latimes.com/opinion/editorials/la-ed-vets-housing-bonds-20130915-story.html).
There is one key difference in the “new” bonds issued through Proposition 41 as opposed to the old ones they are replacing. The old Cal-Vets program used monies collected from the vets to repay the bonds. So, while taxpayers were technically obligated by the bonds issued, they did not actually have to repay them; that was done by the vets who were beneficiaries of the program. Of course, this also meant the program could only be used by those who could repay the debt – hence the reason that the old program was under-utilized. The new program does not require the beneficiary to be able to fully re-pay the debt. So, presumably taxpayers will actually shoulder some if not all of the repayment obligation.
We think it is appropriate for taxpayers to help pay to house low-income (defined as earning no more than 80% of income earned by local families) and very low-income (defined as earning no more than 30% of income earned by local families) vets in California. We like that unlike the prior program this one will help homeless vets – a huge and ever-growing problem in California. (We’ll avoid the obvious rant about how reprehensible it is that brave men and women, who have endured combat and the associated physical and emotional scars, come home only to be forced to sleep on the streets.) Also, we note that there are countless studies that show that paying to house very low-income individuals is far less expensive (i.e. more fiscally sound) for state and local governments when compared to allowing those individuals to remain homeless. Here is one study that shows that the total cost of “supportive housing” is about $600 per month while the aggregate costs to governments in dealing with the same individuals when they become homeless skyrockets to $2,897 (See http://www.economicrt.org/pub/Where_We_Sleep_2009/Where_We_Sleep.pdf). So, from both a moral and a financial standpoint, this program seems to make sense. Add to this analysis the fact that this program is intended to work with local governments, non-profits, and private investors, to leverage their monies and expertise, resulting both in better results and increased economic activity (funding increased construction etc.) and this would seem to be something of a “no-brainer.” This point also eliminates another of our common “pet peeves” regarding bonds – this proposal uses bond monies to build assets (here buildings and houses) generally, that is a more responsible use of borrowed money (as opposed to using borrowed money to simply fund continued salary or other operating costs in a program).
The US Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) issued the most recent “Annual Homeless Assessment Report (AHAR) to Congress” in 2013 (https://www.onecpd.info/resources/documents/ahar-2013-part1.pdf) That study found that California has the highest percentage of homeless population in the U.S. and that after years of decline, the total number of homeless in California suddenly increased in 2013. It is widely anticipated that as veterans continue to come home from the recent wars, those numbers will continue trending up. Meanwhile, the number of homeless shelters in California declined.
Finally, we readily dismiss the single individual – Gary Wesley – who provided the argument against this proposition. His suggestion is that to address the present problem of homeless veterans the U.S. should avoid going to war in the future. Unless Mr. Wesley has a time machine, we don’t think that is sound policy.
GO VOTE — PolitoMuse Offers Complete Analysis on All 11 California Propositions And Selected Local Measures
Visit the PolitoMuse Propositions page for complete independent analysis of each of California proposition on this November’s ballot and the PolitoMuse Local Measures page for selected Measures. Agree with us, disagree with us, post and vent, but whatever you do, fulfill you duty to educate yourself about the issues and then exercise your right to vote.
PolitoMuse State Proposition Recommendations:
- California Proposition 30 — Yes
- California Proposition 31 — No
- California Proposition 32 — No
- California Proposition 33 — No
- California Proposition 34 — Yes
- California Proposition 35 — No
- California Proposition 36 — Yes
- California Proposition 37 — No
- California Proposition 38 — No
- California Proposition 39 — Yes
- California Proposition 40 — Yes
PolitoMuse Selected Local Measure Recommendations:
We urge you to re-post the PolitoMuse URL on your personal network pages (Facebook etc), wear your “I Voted” sticker, and urge your friends and family to learn, debate, motivate, and VOTE. Votes matter – just ask Mr. Dewey.
Californians may feel a little left out of the Presidential election fun (though we’ll point out the obvious: polls don’t elect the president, you still have to actually vote), still, this election is shaping up to offer some very close races on important propositions (Props 30, 34, 36, 37, 38 and possibly 32), local measures, and elected officials (including a handful of state races that have attracted over $50 million in out-of-state spending). So, make sure you vote, encourage others to vote, and check-out our revised FAQ for answers to frequent voter conundrums.
I moved within my county and forgot to re-register!
No problem – go to your correct precinct, or any precinct within your county and ask for a provisional ballot. Your provisional ballot will be verified after the election and your votes for all offices, propositions and measures to which you were entitled to vote (based on where you live) will be counted.
Unfortunately, if you moved out of your county your vote cannot be counted unless you re-registered.
I’m registered to Vote-by-Mail but I lost my ballot!
No problem. Go to your voting precinct and tell the precinct captain your ballot was lost, destroyed, or eaten by your dog. No matter what, make sure you get a provisional ballot — so long as you are not voting twice, your provisional ballot vote will be counted.
Stil have your Vote-by-Mail ballot. That’s OK too, just surrender it at your polling place and you can vote in person.
My name isn’t on the polling roster at my precinct!
Not your problem. Mistakes happen, just ask for a provisional ballot. So long as you are in the right county (kinda hard to miss that one) your vote will count.
Where is my polling place again?
Checkout the California Secretary of State’s “Find Your Polling Place” page and select your county. We have a lot of Silicon Valley (i.e., Santa Clara County) readers so here is the link to the yes, wait for it – Voter Mobile App!
Oh crap I’ve procrastinated and didn’t mail by Vote By Mail (aka absentee ballot) yet, can I still vote?
Yes! You have two options for getting your vote in and counted. Some of this varies by county a bit, so check your county elections official for specifics.
- Return it in person to a polling place or elections office in your county before or on Election Day. Many counties will have authorized VBM ballot drop-offs locations, like City Halls for your convenience.
- Authorize a relative or person living in the same household as you to return the ballot on your behalf.
I sent in my Vote By Mail/provisional ballot but how do I know it was counted?
After that whole dangling chad incident in Florida, people have gotten awfully persnickety about knowing whether or not their ballot was counted. Well good news, there is a law for that. Under the Federal Help America Vote Act of 2002, every voter who casts a provisional ballot is entitled to find out from his/her county elections official if the ballot was counted and if not, the reason why it was not counted. Similarly, the Elections Code section 3017 provides that vote by mail voters can also track their ballots. Again this tracking process varies by county so click here to find the appropriate website or phone number by county to track your ballot.
Voting is a privilege, a right, and a duty. Learn the positions of the candidates, analyze the propositions and measures, and make your vote count.
See our analysis of California’s Proposition 31 and its mishmash of various purported reforms. Some of the ideas are good, some are bad, and some are none-of-the above. Overall, we don’t think this watered down “reform” plan does anything to “advance the ball” on the key state issues that call out for government reform.